Record: 29-43
OffRtg: 111.5 (26) DefRtg: 114.2 (19) NetRtg: -2.7 (26) Pace: 99.5 (17)
The Magic have a bottom-10 offense for the 11th straight season, tying the Bobcats/Hornets (in their first 11 seasons) for the longest such streak in the 27 years for which we have play-by-play data. But they rank as the league’s fourth most improved offensive team, having scored 7.6 more points per 100 possessions than they did last season (when they ranked in the bottom 10 in each of the four factors on offense). They really couldn’t get worse, but they’ve seen the league’s fifth biggest jump in effective field goal percentage, its third biggest jump in offensive rebounding percentage, and its biggest jump in free throw rate.
The Magic rank just 23rd in ball movement (305 passes per 24 minutes of possessions), but they’re one of four teams — the Celtics, Warriors and Heat are the others — with at least five players who’ve averaged at least three assists per game, evidence that they have multiple guys who can handle the ball and make plays. Turnovers remain an issue (only the Rockets and Pistons have lower assist/turnover ratios) and this team still needs some shooting.
The Magic’s talent is up front, and they have the league’s second biggest difference between their field goal percentage in the paint (57.9%, 15th) and their effective field goal percentage on shots from outside the paint (48.6%, 25th). Bol Bol has the biggest differential (70.8% vs. 41.5%) among 231 players with at least 100 field goal attempts both in and outside the paint, with Wendell Carter Jr., Moe Wagner, Markelle Fultz and Paolo Banchero also having significant differentials.
Carter did shoot 4-for-8 from 3-point range as the Magic beat the Clippers on Saturday, but a loss in San Antonio four days earlier was probably the end of Orlando’s Play-In Tournament hopes. The Magic have one of the league’s toughest remaining schedules, with seven of their 10 games against teams currently over .500.
Week 23: vs. WAS, vs. NYK, vs. BKN
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